Building load prediction methods

Liu Tingzhang, Tai Min, Li Zhanpei and Yao Lixia

2016.10.13

Reviews the state-of-the-art of building load calculation methods, and summarizes these methods into three categories, including the calculation method on physical model, the hourly prediction method on data learning and the real-time prediction method on soft sensing. The calculation method on physical model has been well developed with high accuracy, which is suitable for simulation analysis in the design stage of air conditioning system. The other two categories of methods are suitable for real-time control in the running stage with great practical potential. But the hourly prediction method on data learning needs to solve some problems such as model generalization, dynamic and real-time ability, and the real-time prediction method on soft sensing needs to pay more attention to model accuracy and to develop more effective parameter identification techniques.